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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Canada. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k decoration, and then I will likely take a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of this week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is undoubtedly the safest play on the board this week and she also has 100+ point upside down. She’s a lock in my cash matches this week and I don’t really see how she loses. I believe a entry could be Moras’ best opportunity but she isn’t very capable of finding the fight to the ground, so that I see her getting dominated on the toes before the ref steps in. She is by far my favourite play in the $9k range and she is a -750 on the betting line. I enjoy playing it safer in cash games and I think she’s a secure triumph this week.
GPP play of the week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is a simple one for me this week and he’ll be the chalk of the week. I’ll still be overweight on Merab though. His style is exactly what we need on DraftKings. He’s got a nonstop speed and he shoots for takedowns very often. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights and that is his best route to success in this matchup too. Even with two losses on his record out of these 3 conflicts, he still averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This isn’t my GPP drama of the week because I understand he is going to win, I only know IF he wins that he will score highly, and that he should easily reach value within an $8.6k price tag.
Underdog drama of the week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I have to select Cowboy as the dog of the week. His fights are always action packed along with the winner of this fight will surely be about the first-place lineup. Especially if it is Cowboy. He always scores over 100 points in his wins and he’s 5-rounds to work with here. I really don’t see a circumstance where he wins and doesn’t wind up about the 25k lineup. I’ll be obese on Saturdays this week, but this is an all-in struggle for me. If Cowboy is not in a one of my lineups, you then are going to see Iaquinta there. I will be heavier on the Cowboy side though and I believe he gets the work done by entry.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be very surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st location lineup this week. I would be amazed to see him get even 10x his $8k price tag and that is the reason why I have zero lineups together with him this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is simply not good for DraftKings. He will have to knock Brunson out whether he is going to score highly and that he is not a power puncher. I believe you are better off carrying Elias from TKO on the betting line at +870. I don’t find any reason to invest in him this week at GPPs since he does not possess the ceiling we would like to win that big $25k. I think he is fine in money games because a 65-point win would not kill us . But he’s an easy fade of this week for me this Saturday.
Thanks for reading this and great luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and also provide my entire DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I’m 71-45 for +233.79un (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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