This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card at Russia. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a great deal of money from this week contemplating it’s a more compact card and starts at 10:15am ET. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll probably stick to the top GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at the $25k prize, then I will probably have a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I really don’t believe there are really no cash locks nowadays, so I needed to bring up a money strategy I use a great deal of the moment, which is punting in cash and accepting a reduction. I don’t think Roxy gets the win here, but she is just $6.9k and that I believe she gets 15-minutes of actions. I like the flooring that comes with that and punting along with her cheap cost enables us to fit in a lot of the higher favorites with our other five spots. We don’t need 6 wins in cash games, so I do not believe we need to try for it. I like playing money games safer and if I can lock in 25-35 points at a loss from Roxy at her cheap price I am totally ok with that. I look for 4 wins in money and above 350-400 DK points. That’s my goal every week. Let everybody else make the mistakes and only shoot for a score that may conquer 50% or more of the area.
GPP play of this week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This is an all-in struggle for GPPs in my opinion and I like Overeem among my best plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so I would be shocked to see this move all 5 rounds. I also think Overeem will be too fast for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts ahead of him in the game that is spectacular. The only shot Oleinik has of winning on the toes is by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing entry. Besides those two outcomes, Overeem will smoke him on the toes. I also believe Overeem will work his way back into his toes if he is taken down and the longer Oleinik shoots takedowns the quicker he will gas out. I like the -175 ITD line which is included with Overeem here and I believe he gets a complete in around 2 or 1. That should provide us near 100 DK points or even more, and I need that in a lot of my GPP lineups.
Underdog play of the week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no more the underdog on the gambling line (-120) but DraftKings salaries do not change as soon as they are released. We receive Fiziev here for $800 cheaper than Mustafaev and he is preferred to get the win. I was really impressed with what I saw from this child and that I agree with the line motion. I really do think he has the win , but it’s the DK worth that we would like to make certain to find exposure to the weekend. I think he is an excellent play in cash games with the present value and I expect to be obese on him in GPPs too. We must roster underdogs in our lineups and when we could use a favorite as among these”underdogs” I am usually on board for it.
Fade of this week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of this week for her $9.3k price label. I do think she has the win here since I said earlier, I just don’t see the way she’ll pay off that salary with no finish. I don’t see her shooting for any takedowns in this game, and I do not want to rely on her obtaining knockdown points . Thus, we are only going to be receiving 0.5 points per significant attack, and then the 30-point win bonus if she wins a decision. If this is true, we would need her to property over 126 sig strikes simply to get more than 10x worth. I don’t see that being true and that I believe she more likely scores 80-85 DK points in a decision win. At her salary, that will not win anyone the big $25k. That’s the prize I’m shooting so that is why she’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 69-41 to get +237.39un (+$23,739) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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